S&P 500 Daily Heatmap — 27 August 2026

S&P 500 Daily Heatmap — 27 August 2026 • Source: finviz.com

Global Stock Indices — Daily & 5-Day Performance

Global Stock Indices — Daily & 5-Day Performance

01

Buy the Chip — Nvidia Delivers, AI Trade Roars Back

Nvidia reported, Nvidia delivered. The world’s most valuable company posted fiscal Q2 2027 revenue of $92.22 billion, a staggering 106% year-on-year surge, with data centre sales alone soaring 117% to $89.02 billion. But it was the forward guidance that truly electrified markets: fiscal Q3 revenue is expected at $108 billion, and CFO Colette Kress projected fiscal year 2028 revenue growth of approximately 70% — a supply-constrained outlook, with CEO Jensen Huang emphasising that “even though our demand is much greater than 70%, our supply allows us to confidently deliver 70%.”

Shares finished up 8.7%, their biggest single-day gain since April 2025, adding more than $440 billion in market capitalisation. The rally lifted the broader tech complex and dragged the benchmark S&P 500 to a 0.7% gain. But leadership narrowed sharply — tech was the only sector in the green, rising 3.4%, while the other ten all declined. Healthcare and consumer sectors fell roughly 1%.

Software Stocks Post Best Day in Over a Year

It wasn’t just Nvidia. Salesforce soared nearly 23% after a top- and bottom-line beat, with CEO Marc Benioff saying “AI is delivering value across every layer of our platform.” The company also announced an expanded partnership with Anthropic, unveiling “Claudeforce” — a plugin giving sellers access to critical data from inside Anthropic’s Claude chatbot. CrowdStrike jumped more than 20% after raising its full-year revenue outlook. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF added nearly 8%, its best day since April 2025.

Have AI bubble fears been greatly exaggerated, or are they just inflating further? Nvidia’s revenue growth and forecasts are astonishing — some analysts are speculating that annual revenue could reach $1 trillion in a couple of years. But that bet relies on companies across the economy splurging all their free cash flows into a second AI capex boom, says Bob Elliott at Unlimited Funds. It’s a high bar. Separately, Nvidia is reportedly nearing a $13 billion deal to acquire AI startup Hugging Face.

02

Warsh’s Moment — Jackson Hole, Inflation, and a Credibility Test

The waiting is almost over. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh makes his keynote speech at the Kansas City Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium on Friday morning, with the investment world focused on what he says about inflation and how he intends to get it back down to target. There’s a chance he will disappoint expectations, nodding instead to broader issues like the five “task forces” he has set up to overhaul the Fed’s wider operational framework.

The stakes are high. His press conference after the July FOMC meeting, where he equivocated over his commitment to the Fed’s 2% inflation goal, was widely seen as a misstep. Long bond yields have been climbing, with the 30-year now above 5.2%. “If he does not give any framework guidance, the risk is that it will involve a much higher move in long rates,” warned Apollo’s Torsten Slok.

Long-Dated Yields Edge Higher Ahead of Warsh Speech

30-Year U.S. Treasury Yield • Source: Bloomberg

PCE Inflation Stays Sticky

Wednesday’s data showed the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — core PCE — ticked up 0.2% month-on-month and held at 3.3% year-on-year, well above the 2% target. Headline PCE came in a touch hotter than expected. With Q2 GDP growth confirmed at 1.5% and initial jobless claims declining, the case for a rate hike is building. JPMorgan’s Maia Crook noted the data “keep a September hike in play if followed by strong August CPI and employment reports,” though her team still forecasts December. Fed funds currently sit at 3.5%–3.75%, with futures pricing a quarter-point increase by year-end.

03

Le Spread — France’s Fiscal Fragility Returns to the Spotlight

Much of the recent focus in global bond markets has understandably been centred on Washington, but Paris is — or should be — on investors’ radar too. France’s fragile finances face a critical few months, with the annual budget battle this year preceding next spring’s presidential election. At this early juncture, the frontrunners are hard-left and hard-right candidates promising to spend big.

France’s debt is at a record high, its bond yields are higher than Italy’s, and the yield spread over German debt could soon rise above 100 basis points — it was close to 50 bps just six months ago, before the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran. France’s fiscal worries often flare up but usually dissipate quickly enough. This time might be different: the global backdrop is more challenging, with bond markets across the industrialised world also under pressure.

04

Oil, OPEC & Venezuela — The Cartel Frays Further

Oil climbed around 2% on Thursday, with WTI settling at $83.68 a barrel, as diplomatic efforts toward an agreement over the Strait of Hormuz hit fresh hurdles. Gold held above $4,600 per ounce, the dollar was flat, and the Australian dollar was the biggest climber among G10 currencies. Bitcoin reclaimed $80,000.

Venezuela Weighs OPEC Exit

In a potentially seismic development for global oil politics, Venezuela is closely examining plans to leave OPEC, the cartel it helped create more than six decades ago, according to Bloomberg. The idea has been a topic in conversations with U.S. officials as Washington deepens its control over Venezuelan oil following the ouster of Nicolás Maduro. Some U.S. officials envision an oil powerhouse built from a U.S.–Venezuela alliance that would greatly diminish OPEC’s influence. Coming just four months after the UAE announced its own withdrawal, the move would stoke further doubts over whether Saudi-led OPEC can continue to hold together and influence crude prices.

Commodities, Energy & FX — Daily & 5-Day Performance

Commodities, Energy & FX — Daily & 5-Day Performance

The ASX is set for a modestly positive open, with futures up 0.2% to 9,004. The Australian dollar was the strongest G10 currency overnight. Domestically, earnings from Harvey Norman, Dicker Data, Virgin Australia and Cobram Estate are due today.

  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers keynote address at the Kansas City Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium
  • Japan — Tokyo CPI inflation (August)
  • Euro zone — Consumer, business, industrial sentiment (August)
  • Canada — GDP (Q2)
  • U.S. — University of Michigan inflation expectations, consumer sentiment (August, final)
  • ASX Earnings — Cobram Estate (CBO), Dicker Data (DDR), Harvey Norman (HVN), Virgin Australia (VGN)
MPC Markets Global Calendar — Week 36, 31 Aug – 5 Sep 2026

MPC Markets Global Calendar — Week 36 • 31 Aug – 5 Sep 2026

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