ASX outlook

MPC Morning Call

Stocks Continue Slide as Oil Tops $100

Brent crude surged above $100 a barrel as U.S. strikes on five Iranian tankers triggered retaliatory attacks across the Persian Gulf, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.85%. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% while a disappointing $6 billion Treasury buyback deepened the bond sell-off. ASX 200 futures point to a 1% drop as markets await Thursday’s PPI and Friday’s CPI for Fed rate hike clarity.

MPC Morning Call

Stocks to Open Lower as Hormuz Shuts Again

Wall Street posted a second straight week of gains as markets shrugged off a fresh round of US strikes on Iran and Tehran’s declaration that the Strait of Hormuz is closed. SK Hynix surged 13% on its record $26.5 billion Nasdaq debut while the RBA flagged rising default risks across Australia’s $250 billion private credit sector.

MPC Morning Call

Chips Rally as Markets Shrug Off Iran Strikes

A chip-led rebound powered Wall Street higher as the S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 7,541.83 and the Nasdaq surged 1.3%, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index clawing back more than 5% over two sessions. SK Hynix priced its record $26.5 billion U.S. ADR debut while crude pulled back sharply after Trump said Iran wanted a deal. SPI futures point to a flat ASX open at 8,741.

MPC Morning Call

War On, Risk Off: Stocks Drop

Trump declared the U.S.–Iran ceasefire “over” at the NATO summit in Ankara as the military launched a second day of strikes, sending Brent crude surging 5.9% to $78.55 after briefly topping $80. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% while the Nasdaq eked out a 0.2% gain on a chip rebound after China signalled it would allow AI firms to buy Nvidia H200s. Fed minutes revealed an evenly split committee on rate hikes, and ASX 200 futures point to a 49-point drop at the open.

MPC Morning Call

Dow Hits Record as Tech Bounces

US stocks rallied to close out what’s shaping up as the best quarter in six years, with the Dow hitting a record 52,182 as Alphabet made its blue-chip debut. Tech bounced hard after last week’s AI-driven selloff, while the yen slid to 40-year lows and US-Iran talks in Doha offered a fragile path to de-escalation.

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